Electricity spot prices continued to fall well short of market expectations in October, driving down the Q4-23 forward price. The sentiment of the market outlook is mixed with some Regions strengthening and others softening.
Oct-23 Financial Market Report
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Could this be the calm before the storm? Low demand and high renewable generation crushed electricity spot prices during October, but how long can it last? El NiƱo continues to threaten a hot and dry summer with AEMO's Summer Outlook painting the picture of a market on a knife's edge.
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Our Monthly Report continues with Spot Market prices where a mild September and high VRE generation brought softening electricity prices, while gas spot prices have fallen to pre-2022 price levels due to soft demand, high production and storage levels, price caps and softer international prices.
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Continuing low spot prices impacted forward expectations despite the warnings of bushfires, a hot summer and possible shortages. Last October the forward market peaked, but this October is set for a downhill run as Spring conditions of plenty of wind and increasing sunshine prevail.
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