Market Report - EnergyByte

July 2025 Spot Market Report

July 2025 spot market conditions reflected strong pricing in SA and TAS, and more moderate pricing in the other Regions. SA also dominated FCAS costs for the month which were the highest SA FCAS costs since Nov-22, and the second highest in SA’s history. Gas markets operated within normal ranges.

12 min read Aug 18, 2025

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Jul-25 Generation Report

Heather Wang, Eric Chan, Carl Daley

In July, capacity increased by 215MW, Generator Weighted Average prices declined along with Time Weighted Averages, VRE curtailment rates increased, and batteries provided crucial grid stability. VIC remained the dominant energy exporter while Snowy storages are the lowest in 5-years.

14 min read Aug 8, 2025

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July-25 Financial Market Report

Carl Daley, Eric Chan

The Q3-25 quarter spot prices have struggled to meet forward price expectations leading to a softening of the current quarter forward price and all future periods. However, the quarter is not yet finished, and there is time for a recovery.

7 min read Aug 7, 2025

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June 2025 Spot Market Report

Carl Daley, Eric Chan

June 2025 caused a strong finish to the financial year with extreme volatility across the NEM, although QLD’s impact was tempered by interconnector constraints. Power plant outages were a big driver on spot price outcomes. Gas prices were also elevated during critical days.

17 min read Jul 23, 2025

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Jun-25 Generation Report

Heather Wang, Eric Chan, Carl Daley

Generation capacity grew by 1,172MW. Extreme price events lifted wind and solar GWA prices, though farms couldn't fully capitalise on these events, resulting in larger discounts to TWA prices. The curtailment rate for solar and wind rose in most regions. TAS net imports from VIC hit a 15-year high.

13 min read Jul 4, 2025

Market public

Thu 26th June 2025 Event

Carl Daley

Last night delivered severe market price conditions. Triple ‘C ‘Day weather conditions (cold, calm, cloudy) eliminated wind generation and drive peak heating demand. This event shifts market price perceptions as well as being both a warning and a roadmap, for building a more resilient energy future.

10 min read Jun 27, 2025

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May-25 Generation Report

Jay Ros, Eric Chan, Heather Wang

Battery storage grew by 490MWh in May, with the addition of two new large-scale batteries in SA. QLD batteries outperformed other BESS of the NEM, amassing $6.3m in revenue. Renewable generation levels for May surged thanks to clearer weather, growing solar capacity, and record high wind generation.

12 min read Jun 18, 2025

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May-25 Spot Market Report

Jay Ros, Eric Chan, Carl Daley

NSW had the strongest average spot price for the NEM in May. Across the NEM prices were correlated with wind generation, with periods of high wind, crushing spot prices, and low wind combined with cold weather pushing up prices. Gas spot prices softened in line with the ACCC netback price.

13 min read Jun 16, 2025

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May-25 Financial Market Report

Carl Daley

So far Q2-25 spot electricity prices are following the footsteps of Q1-25, by not living up to expectations set prior to the commencement of the quarter. May-25 trades volumes were high as is normally the case, but less than May-24 levels. LGC prices strengthened and VEEC fell markedly.

7 min read Jun 3, 2025

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Apr-25 Generation Report

Heather Wang, Carl Daley, Eric Chan

The NEM expanded by 201MW in April. Wind farm GWA prices aligned better with rising spot prices, while solar farms showed contrary trends. All regions suffered higher wind curtailment than last April. TAS hydro generation hit a seven-year April low, deepening dependence on VIC’s exports.

14 min read May 15, 2025

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Apr-25 Spot Market Report

Jay Ros, Eric Chan, Carl Daley

Mild April weather led to subdued demand and average spot price outcomes across the NEM, except for short evening peak volatility for QLD and NSW early in the month. In the news, success for Labor Party confirms the ongoing transition to renewables and a strong stance on emission reduction targets.

13 min read May 8, 2025

Market Report paid

Mar-25 Financial Market Report

Carl Daley, Eric Chan

The Q1-25 quarter spot prices finished in the bottom quartile of our spot forecast, creating a significant seller’s margin profit for the quarter. Forward market prices generally rallied during the month, reversing the February downward trend.

7 min read Apr 23, 2025